Serie A - Tuesday AC Milan vs Napoli
Pick: Napoli Draw no Bet / Tie No Bet / +0 Spread at +110
AC Milan currently sit 8th in the league, a position that fairly reflects their inconsistent performances this season. They come into this match in a weakened state, with several key players sidelined, including Theo Hernández, Tijjani Reijnders, Tammy Abraham, Ismaël Bennacer, Alessandro Florenzi, and Matteo Gabbia. The absence of Hernández and Reijnders, in particular, will severely limit Milan's attacking potential.
Napoli, after a shaky start, have risen to 1st place and currently boast the 3rd highest xG supremacy in the league. Defensively, they have significantly tightened under Conte, conceding just 0.56 goals per match compared to 1.26 last season. In their last five games, opponents have struggled to create much offensively, each generating less than 1.00 xG.
Additionally, Napoli have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 10 away matches against top-six opposition, conceding only 6 goals in those encounters.
Milan may have won five matches across all competitions recently, but these victories came largely against lower-tier teams like Udinese, Venezia, Lecce, and Club Brugge. This match presents a far tougher challenge, particularly with Milan's best XI depleted.
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