MLS - Friday - Charlotte vs Orland
Pick: Orlando Draw no Bet / Tie No Bet / +0 Spread at +110 (stake refunded if draw)
Charlotte has overperformed their defensive metrics this season, averaging 1.5 xGA per 90 minutes.
In both meetings against Orlando in 2024, Charlotte was clearly second best, losing 2-0 each time and coming out behind in the xG battle as well.
Charlotte’s attacking struggles are evident, ranking 20th in MLS for non-penalty xG generated per game.
Team news compounds their issues: creative midfielder Pep Biel is suspended, and key defensive midfielder Nikola Petkovic is out with a knee injury.
Home form isn’t a strong advantage for Charlotte either, with only a +0.25 xG supremacy and 9 wins from 17 matches at home.
Orlando has been free-scoring on the road, averaging 1.82 goals per 90 minutes.
Stylistically, this isn’t a favorable matchup for Charlotte, who rely heavily on counterattacks. Orlando is strong in this area, ranking 4th in MLS for preventing counterattack chances.
Defensively, Orlando ranks 2nd in restricting touches in their box and 3rd for shots on target allowed, underscoring their ability to limit chances.
In both previous 2024 meetings, Charlotte failed to create meaningful opportunities against Orlando, adding to their uphill battle.
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