NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) OVER 29.5 Points
Hey #PropNation! It’s almost March and that means it’s time to dominate. Three free props and I want the brooms out badly. Let’s dive right in. I want you all to take Giannis Antetokounmpo to go OVER 29.5 points! The Greek Freak took a backseat offensively the last 4 games coming out of the All-Star break on a minutes restriction. However, with him it’s all about picking spots and tonight is that spot for me. Oddsmakers increased his line despite him going under this total in 4 straight games. Prior to the All-Star break Giannis was crushing it, putting up 30+ points in 7 of 8 games. The matchup tonight is perfect for him to attack the rim and explode offensively. In the Bucks home game against Denver last season he put up 36 points on 14 of 19 from the field. In fact, over the last 5 games against the Nuggets the LEAST amount of points he has scored is 29. Hell yeah to the over here. Jokic and company haven’t been playing good defense as they rank 23rd in points allowed. They’ve been getting the ball and running a fast paced offense which will allow Milwaukee to do the same thing. If you follow me, I know when to pick my spots with Giannis and Dame this season. Let’s cash this first ticket with Giannis Antetokounmpo OVER 29.5 Points!
NBA: Mark Williams (Hornets) OVER 24.5 Pts & Rebs
The second spot that I like on tonight’s slate is an over in the Hornets and Mavericks game. Of course, Charlotte has been by far the worst team in the NBA over the last 1-2 weeks, getting obliterated in every single game. However, I simply don’t see a way that they don’t get Mark Williams involved HEAVILY in this game. The Mavericks had nobody above 6’7 in their starting lineup on Tuesday night and Williams can be a beast when the Hornets allow him to be. He should be able to clear tons of rebounds and get some easy buckets down low against the likes of PJ Washington and Dwight Powell. I’ve backed Williams successfully a lot this season and I expect it to continue tonight. He should be able to clear his season average against this team without a sweat. He surpassed this line on January 20th when the Mavericks had Gafford in the lineup. He should get it done again tonight with no real opposing big men. Take Mark Williams OVER 24.5 points and rebounds!
NBA: Buddy Hield (Warriors) UNDER 2.5 Made 3PT
That’s hopefully two dubs in the books. For the third free prop I have a fade spot that I like. It’s Buddy Hield UNDER 2.5 Made 3PT. This line was at about -140 this morning but I believe it’s steaming quickly to the under being juiced more heavily. Bet this straight or put it in a parlay, but I don’t see Buddy getting enough minutes tonight to hit this mark, despite him going 4/9 from three on Tuesday night. Prior to that, Hield had pitiful performances of 2, 3, and 3 points all within the last 5 games and he hasn’t been shooting as much. The Warriors have depth and a lot of Hield’s big games have come with Curry or others sitting out. Tonight in Orlando everyone is expected to play and guess what? The Magic are BY FAR the #1 ranked 3-point defense in the NBA. They allow just 11 made threes per game. What’s unique about them is that they don’t limit shooting percentage as much as other top defenses, but they simply run teams off the 3-point line. Their defensive strategy this year has been force team in the paint which has had mixed results. Either way the analytics point to Hield having a suboptimal game and I love this line. Take Buddy Hield UNDER 2.5 Made 3PT!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.