NBA: Max Christie (Mavericks) UNDER 8.5 Points
Happy Monday to everyone! A new week and new opportunity to build our bankrolls. The month of March comes to a close and was one of our best months ever, profiting 70+ units in our VIP system, with guys messaging me they’ve doubled and tripled their bankrolls. Let’s keep it up and get a free play heater going. I want a sweep tonight: two plays in the NBA and one in the MLB. For the first free play look I love Max Christie of the Mavericks to go UNDER 8.5 points tonight against the Brooklyn Nets. Christie is just 22 years old but is already in his 3rd NBA season, finding his role on the Mavericks roster that has been littered with injuries. The fade is the play here because Christie’s value is depreciating massively, and his playing time is going way down. The Mavs are finally getting healthy (outside of Kyrie being out for season), and he only logged 14 SCORELESS minutes in the last game against the Bulls. I expect more of the same tonight with him getting about 12-16 minutes and struggling to get shot opportunities. I have him projected for just 5 points tonight, a nice advantage on the posted line. Brooklyn also has an underrated defense, particularly against opposing guards. It would take an outlier shooting performance for Christie to go over tonight given the current Dallas roster makeup. Lock in Max Christie UNDER 8.5 Points!
NBA: Keegan Murray (Kings) OVER 5.5 Rebounds
The next value spot I see tonight is Keegan Murray of the Kings to go OVER 5.5 Rebounds. We have taken Murray’s rebounding total overs a few times recently on the VIP card with success and I like tonight’s spot again. Murray is an excellent rebounder, putting up 6.7 rebounds/game this season as a small forward. He’s gone over this line in 4 of the last 6 games and is now facing the Pacers, who have an insane pace of play. Because of the up and down nature of this game, there will be a LARGE amount of missed shots and tons of rebounding potential. The Pacers rank 2nd last in the NBA in team rebounding as they spread the floor and don’t have a lot of big bodies. The presence of Domantas Sabonis back in the lineup has the public playing Sabonis props and not seeing the rest of the Kings’ players value. I like this play a lot as Murray can go for double digit rebounds on any given night with a couple good bounces. Take Keegan Murray OVER 5.5 Rebounds!
MLB: Kyle Hart (Padres) OVER 3.5 K's
Onto baseball and what a start to the season it has been! MLB is data abundant and we are 4-0 on having profitable days so far this season. Let’s go 162-0!! ;) I want you guys to take Kyle Hart of the Padres to go OVER 3.5 strikeouts tonight as he faces the Guardians. Yes, Hart is facing the Cleveland offense that is good at making contact, but Hart is a veteran southpaw that is capable of getting whiffs. Hart pitched in the KBO (Korean Baseball League) in 2024 and was dominant, going 13-3 with a 2.69 ERA. He literally led the entire KBO in strikeouts, posting 182 K’s in 26 games, averaging 7 K’s per game and 1.2 strikeouts per inning pitched. Crazy good stats! Of course you take KBO stats with a grain of salt but he was the best the entire league had to offer and nasty pitching does translate to the MLB in some capacity. Look for Hart to catch some guys guessing in their first time facing him. Take Kyle Hart OVER 3.5 K’s!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.