Jake Ferguson (Cowboys) OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards
New Week, new moneymaking opportunity. Transparently we didn’t finish the weekend very well as we typically do, with some really close plays not bouncing our way. Doesn’t phase us. We trust the process and analytics. Grinding for you guys to start the morning and I’m going with a VIP play as our first free prop to give you guys bonus value. I love this community so let’s all ride together. I’m going Jake Ferguson of the Dallas Cowboys to go OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards. Yes, Dak Prescott is out. But Cooper Rush is going to utilize Ferguson as a main outlet to keep the chains moving. Rush played a lot the last 2 games against Atlanta and Philly and Ferguson caught 11 balls for 95 yards. He’s one of the best young tight ends in the NFL and the Cowboys are 7-point dogs in this game so they will likely have to throw fairly frequently when they do have the ball. This is a phenomenal buy-low spot for a tight end that should get 5-8 targets tonight. And Mike McCarthy calls several short tight end pop/screen plays per game for Fergie. I love this one. Take Jake Ferguson OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards!
Jalen Brunson (Knicks) UNDER 7.5 Assists
For free play #2 we head to the NBA where the Knicks host the Wizards in an expected one-sided affair. New York is 14 & ½ point favorites and I do expect them to blow Washington out early. Because of this, I love the value of Jalen Brunson’s assist line going UNDER 7.5 tonight. First off, he averages well below this at 6.8 assists/game. But he’s covered this line in 5 of his last 6 games so the public is being baited to take the over. Brunson hopefully won’t play much of the 4th quarter if the lead is big and even if he does, I expect him to look for his shot primarily instead of dishing the ball. He needs to get back on track after a 3 for 14 shooting night yesterday. My analytics are showing a projection of 6.8 assists tonight. I like that value for a 7.5 line. Take Jalen Brunson UNDER 7.5 assists for winner #2!
Jared McCain (76ers) UNDER 20.5 Points
Onto the third and final free prop. Another NBA value play. I’m going to fade the Sixers' incredible rookie Jared McCain. He’s in his 1st year out of Duke and the 20-year old has been turning heads these last few games. With Tyrese Maxey out due to injury he has taken over and put up 27, 23, 34, and 29 points the last 4 games. The public is now flying high on his overs and the sharp play is the under at this point. His line is overinflated and my analytics show him projected for 17-18 points, a good bargain on the line of 20 & ½. Plus, with Paul George and Joel Embiid working their way back to full health and full playing time his scoring load and opportunities are going to be diminished. He’ll still get tons of minutes tonight but his 3-point shooting and overall efficiency is going to decrease. He simply can’t keep this type of scoring up as a rookie. Take Jared McCain UNDER 20.5 Points!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.