Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions, NFL Picks, NFL Free Picks, NFL Predictions 12/1/24
- Luke Shuey
- Dec 1, 2024
- 3 min read
Geno Smith (Seahawks) OVER 32.5 Pass Attempts
Great day for free picks yesterday going 3-1 as we consistently smash the books FOR FREE and for our paid VIP clients! Let’s dive into today’s NFL slate. For the first free play I want you guys to look at the QB matchup in the Seahawks vs Jets game. Obviously, it’s been a dumpster fire for New York this year but I love this spot for some Geno Smith action. Smith is facing his former team and will want to best them. Smith has a pass attempts line of O/U 32.5 and I’m loving the over here. In recent games Smith has gone under this number in 4 of 5 games but he was close in all of them and that’s why I think the public is on the under against New York’s defense. However, in road games Geno has had to air it out! He’s averaging 40 pass attempts/game in 4 road games this season and a similar trend held true last season. Oddsmakers see this as a coin flip of a game with Seattle as a 1.5-point favorite so it should be competitive. Look for Geno to hit his plethora of receivers and cover this easily for us. Lock in Geno Smith OVER 32.5 Pass Attempts!
Saquon Barkley (Eagles) UNDER 88.5 Rushing Yards
For free prop #2 I want you guys to take advantage of value in the game of the week as Baltimore hosts the Philadelphia Eagles. I’m going VERY contrarian here but I am very confident it’s the sharp play. I want you guys to get uncomfortable, trust me and take Saquon Barkley UNDER 88.5 rushing yards. Let me make that very clear. YES, we are fading the best offensive player in the NFL so far this season. After last week’s historic game of 255 rushing yards and 302 yards from scrimmage, EVERYONE is on Barkley’s prop overs. Yet, oddsmakers lower his line to 88.5 despite him averaging 126.5 rushing yards/game. When Vegas posts a line that is about 40 yards off a season average they are telling you something. Of course, I acknowledge that Barkley could make me eat my words but I follow this type of line functionality consistently over time and we win more than we lose. Lastly, the matchup is nice. Baltimore boasts the 2nd ranked run defense in the NFL and the 2nd worst pass defense. A lot to like here for a sharp fade. Take Saquon Barkley UNDER 88.5 rushing yards!
Jauan Jennings (49ers) OVER 52.5 Receiving Yards
Last but not least I want you guys to take Jauan Jennings of the 49ers to go OVER 52 & ½ receiving yards against the Buffalo Bills. This is a matchup of two teams heading in opposite directions but I think the 49ers will battle. Last week in an ass-kicking by the Packers, George Kittle was the stat-getter in the passing game. This week I expect wideout Jauan Jennings to be a focal point. With Brandon Aiyuk out for the season defenses have had to lock in on Deebo Samuel and George Kittle. This has allowed Jennings to rack up massive target share including 29 over the last 3 weeks alone. Jennings is averaging 70 receiving yards/game and they are projected to be down a lot of the game so San Francisco should have to pass the ball. I think this is a MASSIVE value spot and might end up on our VIP card come Sunday. He can go for 100+ as the Niners have to force the issue to try and keep their postseason hopes alive. Take Jauan Jennings OVER 52.5 Receiving Yards!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.