Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions, NFL Picks, NFL Free Picks, NFL Predictions 12/5/24
- Luke Shuey
- Dec 5, 2024
- 3 min read
Dontayvion Wicks (Packers) OVER 40.5 Receiving Yards
Coming off another nice night of free plays going 2-1 and now 5-1 in our last 6 plays we lock in on Thursday night football where the Lions host the Packers in an NFC North battle. Detroit dismantled Green Bay back on November 3rd at Lambeau Field and look to repeat this performance at home. I like a value play on Packers wideout Dontayvion Wicks. His receiving yards line currently sits at O/U 40.5 yards. Wicks has actually had a disappointing season after he broke onto the scene with a solid rookie campaign in 2023. However, he is being freed up by the injury to Romeo Doubs and saw his most targets (5) last week since October 20th. Wicks is going to be on the field most of the time as WR2 and he is a very skilled player. Last season he was in the top 5 in the NFL in separation gained against man coverage for routes ran. In a game where Green Bay is expected to be playing from behind I see Wicks getting 6+ targets tonight which should fairly easily get him over the 40-yard mark. Other than beating man coverage he has the ability to find the seams in zone coverage and that will be his responsibility tonight while Christian Watson and Jayden Reed run deeper down the field. Lock in Dontayvion Wicks OVER 40.5 receiving yards for the first free winner!
Jared Goff (Lions) UNDER 32.5 Pass Attempts
For free prop #2 I want you guys to take Jared Goff of Detroit to go UNDER 32.5 pass attempts. The Lions know their winning recipe at this point in the season being 11-1 and it is hammering the rock with Goff being efficient throwing the ball in play action. He averages just 28 pass attempts per game so we look to take advantage of the line being 4 attempts higher than his average. The under here has gone under in 9 of his last 10 games with the only over being their sole loss this season against the Buccaneers. In their matchup against Green Bay earlier 5 weeks ago Goff threw the ball just 22 times compared to 32 rushing plays. Look for them to establish their ground game and have Goff be the efficient game manager that he is. Take Jared Goff UNDER 32.5 pass attempts!
Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors) UNDER 18.5 Points
For the third and final free prop I want you guys to bounce over to the NBA where we’ve been heating up. I like a fade tonight of Jonathan Kuminga as the Warriors take on the Rockets. Kuminga has a points line of O/U 18.5 tonight which is relatively high because Stephen Curry is out in this game. Although the ball will be in his hands more, Kuminga is still only putting up 13.8 points/game on the season and has actually taken a step back this year because the Warriors roster has youth and depth. His minuteshare is down along with literally every major stat across the board. I see the likes of Andrew Wiggins, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, and Brandin Podzmieski sharing the love in this game. Lastly, this is a tough matchup against the 3rd ranked Rockets defense. Scoring the ball isn’t going to be easy tonight so I love the value play of holding Kuminga under 19 points against a very athletic defense. Take Jonathan Kuminga UNDER 18.5 points and let’s sweep the board 3-0!!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.