Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NFL Picks, NFL Free Picks, NFL Predictions, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions 12/16/24
- Luke Shuey
- Dec 16, 2024
- 3 min read
D'Andre Swift (Bears) OVER 67.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards
Coming off a great weekend and 4 straight profitable days including an 11-1 run in the NBA and 7-2 run in the NFL we are poised to crush it this week. First free prop kicks off on Monday Night Football and I am going with D’Andre Swift OVER 67.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards combined. The public play is going to be hammering all Minnesota Vikings props in this game which leaves quality sharp value for Chicago. Nobody thinks they’ll be in a position to run the ball but the Bears will still compete in this game and in order to do so they have to get Swift touches out of the backfield through creative run designs and short passing game. He’s listed as questionable and has struggled to get things going in 3 straight games, including just 30 rushing yards against the Vikings on November 24th. But before that he racked up 50+ rushing yards in 7 straight games and is dynamic in the passing/screen game. He’s the way to get play action working for Caleb Williams. Lastly, the Vikings boast the 2nd best rushing defense (thus, another reason the public will go under!), but they’ve been significantly worse the last 3 weeks giving up 130 yds/game, ranking 25th in the NFL. Lock in the first free dub with D’Andre Swift OVER 67.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards!
Kirk Cousins (Falcons) UNDER 32.5 Pass Attempts
We jump over to the other Monday Night Football game for the second free prop. The Falcons look to end their 5-game losing streak and because of expected gameplan I like Kirk Cousins to go UNDER 32.5 pass attempts. They really should win this game and need to win and to do so they will pound the rock. In 4 of Atlanta’s 6 wins Cousins went under this number. Running the ball is their key to victory because it sets up play action. On the other side Las Vegas is going to try and control the clock and work long scoring drives so I really don’t think this will be an aerial attack from either team, particularly in the first half. I have Kirk projected for 27-30 pass attempts and so the value play is the under. Take Kirk Cousins UNDER 32.5 Pass Attempts!
Jakob Poeltl (Raptors) OVER 31.5 PRA (pts, rebs, assts)
For the third and final free prop of course we head over to the scorching hot NBA. I’m looking to the Bulls and Raptors matchup where I like Jakob Poeltl to go OVER 31.5 PRA. At surface level the under would be the play here looking at his recent performances but I see him cruising past this number with Scottie Barnes out of the lineup again. Barnes came back for a stretch recently and he racks up a ton of stats, including a high offensive usage rate. Without him on the floor Toronto looks to Poeltl a lot more for scoring and also leaves more rebounds for the big man to snag. Lastly, oddsmakers have the total for this game sitting around 240 so they expect a high-scoring, heavy statistical game. Chicago allows the 5th most fantasy points to the center position so it’s an ideal spot for Poeltl to rack em up. Lock in Jakob Poeltl OVER 31.5 PRA and let’s sweep!!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.