Packers vs Lions Free Pick, NFL Free Picks, NFL Predictions 12/5/24
- J.A. Cavalier
- Dec 5, 2024
- 2 min read
GREEN BAY @ DETROIT (DET -3.5, 51.5)
NFL ODDS, NFL PREDICTIONS, NFL PREVIEWS
PACKERS @ LIONS 12/5/24
The Detroit Lions are on the warpath to making history. As they match their own franchise record for most consecutive victories, they're going to have to fight off a strong Green Bay Packers team this Thursday night to hold onto their number one spot in the NFC standings.
The Lions are 11-1 and have yet to pull away from Minnesota and Green Bay, who are not far behind with records of 10-2 and 9-3 respectively. This makes the upcoming match between the Lions and the Packers all the more decisive - given that a victory would give the Lions a more secure footing at the top of their division.
Fresh off a nail-biting 23-20 Thanksgiving Day victory against the Chicago Bears, the Lions’ victory was almost reversed thanks to the Bears' poor clock management. However, it was Detroit's tenacity that ultimately prevailed, safeguarding their winning streak.
Lions' quarterback Jared Goff, after a shaky start against the Houston Texans, has been on a scoring spree recently. He has six touchdowns and no interceptions to his name in the last three games.
On the other side of the field are the Green Bay Packers, who also enjoyed a Thanksgiving win against Miami. The Packers beat the Dolphins 30-17. Facing a Detroit team that has been a persistent thorn in their side - having lost to the Lions in five of the last six games - the Packers are gearing up for a clash that their coach Matt LaFleur predicts to be "a great game".
The Lions have been strong against the number since Dan Campbell took over as head coach. This year, they are 9-3 ATS and 4-2 ATS in home games. The Packers, on the other hand, are 6-6 ATS this season. They are 2-4 ATS in their last six games. The Lions have covered in 6 of the last 7 games against Green Bay at home.
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Coach Rick Free PICK
JARED GOFF OVER 243.5 PASSING YARDS
With such a high total on the board, Detroit’s offense is going to do what it does best. That means Goff should have plenty of success. Green Bay’s defense ranks 28th in pass rush win rate and they don’t blitz often. They have the sixth-lowest blitz rate (18.8%) in the NFL. That should give Goff plenty of clean pockets. Green Bay allows the second-highest dropback success rate to opposing quarterbacks. Goff has cleared this number in two of his last three games and he attempted at least 29 passes in all three.