JACKSONVILLE STATE @ KENNESAW STATE (JSU -16.5, 49)
UNDER 49
More Conference USA action tonight! If you though UTEP was bad last night, wait until you see Kennesaw State tonight. The Owls are transitioning from FCS to FBS and it's gonna take a while. The offense is horrible. Kennesaw State ranks 126th in rushing, 121st in passing, and 125th in scoring. I could go on, but the point is that the Owls are bad.
Jacksonville State likes to run the football. That, of course, milks the clock. Like Jax State, Kennesaw State plays at pretty slow tempo. Both teams rank near the bottom of FBS in plays per game. JSU is 103rd and KSU is 114th. The Under has cashed in 4 of Kennesaw State's last 5 games. I think we're headed there tonight.
HOUSTON @ TCU (TCU -16.5, 51)
HOUSTON TEAM TOTAL UNDER 17.5
As mentioned, Kennesaw State is bad on offense. Houston? Yeah, we've got problems there too. The Cougars rank 130th in scoring. They have been shutout in consecutive games and average just 12 points per game. Houston has a decent defense, but the offense just can't find the end zone.
TCU doesn't have the TCU defense of old, but I would expect the Horned Frogs to play better tonight in front of their home crowd. TCU is 13-4 in its last 17 home games. Houston beat Rice in their third game, 33-7. In the other four games, all losses, the Cougars scored 7, 12, 0, and 0.
MICHIGAN STATE @ OREGON (ORE -23.5, 52.5)
OREGON -21
MIchigan State has traveled to the Mountain Time Zone and the Pacific Time Zone just four times since 2005. They are 0-4 SU and ATS in those four games. Tonight, the Spartans will face the No. 6 team in the country - Oregon. The Ducks are fresh off a 34-13 beatdown of UCLA. The Ducks defense gave up just 47 rushing yards and 172 total.
Last week, MSU rushed for just 47 yard against a pretty good Ohio State run defense. If Sparty can't run this week, that means they have to throw. QB Aidan Chiles already has nine interceptions. On the other side, Ducks QB Dillon Gabriel should carve up the Spartans secondary.
Oregon is 10-0 SU in its last 10 home games. Michigan State is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games overall and the Spartans are 0-5 ATS in the last five against the Ducks. Oregon head coach Dan Lanning is 16-8 ATS when his team is a favorite. I've got to buy this down to 21. I'm still getting a good price for the protection.
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