NEW MEXICO STATE @ MIDDLE TENNESSEE (MTSU -3.5, 52.5)
MIDDLE TENNESSEE -3.5
This is a turd of a game. New Mexico State is 2-8 and Middle Tennessee is 3-7. However, there is value on Middle Tennesee here. New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its road games this season. They lost all five of those games by at least 20 points. In road games, the Aggies offense has produced a whopping 9.3 points per game.
Middle Tennessee is no juggernaut, but they've won and covered 2 of their last 4 games. Plus, they play much better when they're at home. Back the Blue Raiders on their home turf.
BOWLING GREEN @ BALL STATE (BG -10.5, 55.5)
BOWLING GREEN -10.5
Bowling Green still has its eyes set on a MAC championship. A victory today gets them one step closer. Ball State just fired its head coach and has lost 3 of its last 4 games. BG should control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball today. Ball State's defense ranks 114th in Rush Success Rate and 129th in Pass Success Rate.
The Falcons also have one of the best defenses in the MAC. Bowling Green has won 4 straight games. They won all 4 by double digits. They'll do it again today.
ARMY vs. NOTRE DAME (ND -14, 44.5)
NOTRE DAME -14
As much as I love service academies, Notre Dame is just too much for Army. The Irish shut down Navy earlier this year by forcing 6 turnovers and holding the Midshipmen to 310 total yards. Remember, the Irish have the third-best scoring defense in the nation allowing just 11.4 points per game.
The Irish have also won five straight games. They won all five games by double-digits. All five games had double-digit spreads and Notre Dame went 5-0 ATS in those five games. Plus, in games featuring ranked opponents with a double-digit spread since 2010, the favorite is 65-43-2 ATS.
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