MLB ODDS, MLB PREDICTIONS, MLB PREVIEWS
SATURDAY, JUNE 29, 2024
RICK BOWE MLB FREE PICKS
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PITTSBURGH @ ATLANTA (ATL -157, 7.5)
F5 UNDER 4.5
Paul Skenes vs. Max Fried. These are two of the best young pitchers in baseball. Skenes is 4-0 with a 2.14 ERA so far this season. He owns three straight quality starts and allowed just 1 ER or less in each. Skenes is a strikeout maching with a fastball that hits in the 99 to 102 mph range. His K/9 stands at 11.8.
Fried is 7-3 with a 3.00 ERA this season. He's allowed 1 ER or less in each of his last two starts. If you combine both of these pitchers' last three starts, the F5 Under is 6-0. That's the play tonight as these two mow down their opponents' batting orders.
TEXAS @ BALTIMORE (BAL -158, 9)
OVER 9
Michael Lorenzen is 4-3 with a 3.04 ERA for Texas this season. However, his xERA is over a full point higher at 4.49. Lorenzen has given up 10 home runs this season and 5 of them have come in June. Baltimore is by far the best MLB team against RHP this season.
The Orioles lead the majors in scoring (5.24) and they've won the first two games of this series. The O's scored 11 runs in Game 1. Baltimore is the top Over team in baseball with a 42-31-9 O/U record. Cade Povich (0-2, 4.15) starts for the Orioles and Texas should be able to squeeze a few runs out of him to help push this one Over the total.
LA DODGERS @ SAN FRANCISCO (LAD -225, 7.5)
TYLER GLASNOW OVER 7.5 STRIKEOUTS
Tyler Glasnow gets the start here for Los Angeles while San Francisco opts for a bullpen game. Glasnow is why the Dodgers are so heavily favored here. He is 8-5 with a 2.88 ERA and he leads the majors in strikeouts. His strikeout prop is set at 7.5 tonight and we're taking advantage of it.
Glasnow has cleared this prop in five straight games - 10, 9, 12, 9, and 8 - and he's hit it in 11 of his last 13 starts this season. The Giants strikeout rate is on the rise recently. San Francisco recorded 9.67 strikeouts over its last three games. Glasnow has dominated the Giants - 3-0, 1.80 ERA in three career starts - and does so again tonight.
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