OKLAHOMA CITY @ SACRAMENTO (OKC -9.5, 231.5)
NBA ODDS, NBA PREDICTIONS, NBA PREVIEWS
THUNDER @ KINGS 3/25/25
In a highly anticipated Western Conference face-off, the Oklahoma City Thunder are set to take on the Sacramento Kings in Northern California this Tuesday. Currently dominating the NBA standings, the Thunder, with a record of 59-12, have already secured the Western Conference title and are seeking to sweep the regular season. Their stellar performance continues as they ride a six-game winning streak, recently edging out the LA Clippers with a thrilling 103-101 victory.
The Sacramento Kings, on the other hand, are battling for a postseason spot, holding onto the 9th place in the Western Conference with a 35-35 record. After a recent loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, the Kings are looking to reverse their fortunes, having dropped two consecutive games. With only a slim lead over the 11th-place Dallas Mavericks, every game is crucial for Sacramento as the regular season winds down.
The Thunder's explosive offense, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who averages an impressive 32.8 points per game, is a force to be reckoned with. Alongside Jalen Williams, the team's hallmark lies in their defense. OKC allows a mere 106.9 points per game, showcasing the best defensive field goal and three-point shooting percentages in the league. As for Sacramento, they rely on the skills of Demar DeRozan and Zach LaVine to ignite their offense. However, with key players like Domantas Sabonis and Malik Monk listed as game-time decisions, their lineup may be different tonight.
Sacramento faces the added challenge of having lost to the Boston Celtics last night. For Oklahoma City, maintaining their momentum is crucial as they aim to dominate the court once again. With their recent successes in covering the spread, particularly on the road, they come into this matchup as heavy favorites.
OKC has won 17 of the last 18 against bottom 10 defenses in the NBA. The Kings rank 22nd in scoring defense allowing 115.8 points per game. The Thunder have also exploited most every defense in the NBA. The Over has cashed in 25 of OKC’s last 36 games.
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COACH RICK FREE PICK:
GAME TOTAL OVER 231.5
This total opened at 226.5 and is up five points. That tells you something. Oklahoma City, of course, is known for its defense, but the offense ranks fourth in the league in scoring averaging 119.8 points per game. The Kings, on the other hand, are a bottom 10 defense. They rank 22nd allowing 115.8 points per game and over their last nine they have fallen apart. Sacramento allowed an average of 121.3 points per game over the last nine. Not surprisingly, the Kings are 2-7 SU in those games. The Over has cashed in 25 of the Thunder’s last 36 games.